Luis Arias
Born 07-19-2005
Bats R Throws R
Real Stats, No DT
Luis Arias Born 2005071920 Bats R Throws R Height 72 Weight 165 No DT, Real
Year Team Lge AB H DB TP HR BB SO R RBI SB CS Out BA OBP SLG EqA EqR POW SPD KRt WRt BIP Defense
2023 dwa DSL 4 2 1 0 0 1 0 1 0 0 0 2 .500 .600 .750 .469 2 2 0 0 1 8 2-3B -1
2024 NAT FCL 99 19 6 0 0 13 27 12 15 5 3 84 .192 .283 .253 .199 7 -19 15 -1 -3 -14 10-2B -1 9-3B -1
2025 NAT FCL 116 34 5 0 2 13 28 19 12 4 0 83 .293 .371 .388 .284 18 -1 0 6 -7 18 33-3B -8
2026 NAT FCL 129 30 3 0 4 14 51 17 23 1 1 101 .233 .315 .349 .216 11 9 -9 -32 -12 7 37-3B 2 2-1B 0
2026 WASNL 265 43 5 0 5 12 112 22 20 3 1 223 .162 .204 .238 .163 12 -10 -6 -34 -7 -8 65 3B -4 0 44 53 41 18
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Minors 348 85 15 0 6 41 106 49 50 10 4 270 .244 .329 .339 .239 38 -2 1 -10 -8 5 81-3B -8 11-2B -1
Total* 348 85 15 0 6 41 106 49 50 10 4 270 .244 .329 .339 .239 38 -2 1 -10 -8 5 81-3B -8 11-2B -1
Regular DT
Luis Arias Born 2005071920 Bats R Throws R Height 72 Weight 165 Regular DT Std=245/315/400, 260
Year Team Lge AB H DB TP HR BB SO R RBI SB CS Out BA OBP SLG EqA EqR POW SPD KRt WRt BIP Defense
2023 dwa DSL 5 2 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 3 .400 .400 .400 .293 1 -3 -1 0 -1 5 2-3B -1
2024 NAT FCL 107 12 3 0 0 5 51 5 6 1 1 98 .112 .152 .140 .000 0 -32 -1 -44 -7 -21 10-2B -1 9-3B -1
2025 NAT FCL 126 27 2 0 2 5 47 11 7 1 0 100 .214 .248 .278 .193 8 -17 -9 -25 -8 8 33-3B -9
2026 NAT FCL 140 20 1 0 2 5 79 8 10 0 0 121 .143 .177 .193 .098 2 -13 -12 -61 -8 3 37-3B 1 2-1B 0
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Minors 378 61 6 0 4 15 178 24 23 2 1 322 .161 .196 .209 .135 11 -20 -8 -44 -8 -2 81-3B -10 11-2B -1
Total* 378 61 6 0 4 15 178 24 23 2 1 322 .161 .196 .209 .135 11 -20 -8 -44 -8 -2 81-3B -10 11-2B -1
Peak (Age-adjusted) DT
Luis Arias Born 2005071920 Bats R Throws R Height 72 Weight 165 Peak DT Std=245/315/400, 260
Year Team Lge AB H DB TP HR BB SO R RBI SB CS Out BA OBP SLG EqA EqR POW SPD KRt WRt BIP Defense
2023 dwa DSL 5 2 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 3 .400 .400 .400 .290 1 -2 -1 1 -1 3 2-3B -1
2024 NAT FCL 107 17 3 0 1 9 44 8 11 1 1 93 .159 .223 .224 .164 5 -19 -5 -30 -1 -11 10-2B 0 9-3B 0
2025 NAT FCL 126 29 2 0 3 6 40 13 10 1 0 98 .230 .271 .333 .223 11 -8 -8 -14 -6 5 33-3B -5
2026 NAT FCL 140 22 1 0 3 8 73 10 12 0 0 119 .157 .204 .221 .148 5 -6 -11 -51 -5 0 37-3B 2 2-1B 0
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Minors 378 70 7 0 7 23 158 31 33 2 1 313 .185 .232 .262 .182 22 -10 -8 -31 -4 -1 81-3B -4 11-2B 0
Total* 378 70 7 0 7 23 158 31 33 2 1 313 .185 .232 .262 .182 22 -10 -8 -31 -4 -1 81-3B -4 11-2B 0
Year-projected (Age-adjusted) DT for 2026
Luis Arias Born 2005071920 Bats R Throws R Height 72 Weight 165 Year-adj DT Std=245/315/400, 260
Year Team Lge AB H DB TP HR BB SO R RBI SB CS Out BA OBP SLG EqA EqR POW SPD KRt WRt BIP Defense
2023 dwa DSL 5 2 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 3 .400 .400 .400 .254 1 -2 -1 0 -1 3 2-3B -1
2024 NAT FCL 107 14 3 0 0 6 48 6 8 1 1 96 .131 .179 .178 .102 2 -27 -3 -39 -5 -14 10-2B -1 9-3B -1
2025 NAT FCL 126 27 2 0 2 5 44 11 8 1 0 100 .214 .248 .286 .195 8 -14 -8 -21 -7 2 33-3B -6
2026 NAT FCL 140 20 1 0 2 5 79 8 10 0 0 121 .143 .177 .193 .098 2 -13 -12 -61 -8 3 37-3B 1 2-1B 0
2026 WASNL 265 43 5 0 5 12 112 22 20 3 1 223 .162 .204 .238 .163 12 -10 -6 -34 -7 -8 65 3B -4 0 44 53 41 18
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Minors 429 73 7 0 6 18 190 30 29 2 1 361 .170 .208 .228 .150 16 -17 -8 -38 -7 -1 81-3B -6 11-2B -1
Total* 429 73 7 0 6 18 190 30 29 2 1 361 .170 .208 .228 .150 16 -17 -8 -38 -7 -1 81-3B -6 11-2B -1
2026 WAS H ARIAS20050719A
Six-year mean projection from 2026
Year Tm Lge Age PA AB R H DB TP HR RBI BB SO SB CS BAvg OBP SLG EqBA EqOBA EqSLG EqA RAR WARP MJ Brk Imp Col Att Drp Ups
2026 WAS NL 20 280 262 25 48 7 0 6 21 13 90 4 1 .183 .236 .279 .197 .242 .274 .192 -11.8 -1.8 0 44 53 41 18 14 17
2027 WAS NL 21 244 229 23 44 6 0 6 20 13 78 4 1 .192 .242 .297 .205 .251 .291 .202 -8.3 -1.3 0 38 44 53 43 37 20
2028 WAS NL 22 175 163 15 29 4 0 4 14 10 57 3 1 .178 .234 .276 .190 .241 .271 .191 -7.5 -1.1 2 27 32 59 55 51 20
2029 WAS NL 23 132 122 14 23 4 0 4 11 9 41 3 0 .189 .250 .320 .203 .257 .301 .208 -2.7 -0.5 5 28 31 68 66 64 20
2030 WAS NL 24 75 70 8 13 2 0 2 8 4 22 1 0 .186 .240 .300 .198 .246 .294 .201 -2.5 -0.4 22 18 18 83 83 82 20
2031 WAS NL 25 85 78 10 16 3 0 3 8 5 22 2 1 .205 .271 .359 .216 .264 .331 .218 -0.3 -0.1 39 14 17 85 83 80 20
UPSIDE ARIAS20050719A 2026 811323 Arias Luis WAS 17.
Percentiles
Pct Tm Lge Age PA AB R H DB TP HR RBI BB SO SB CS BAvg OBP SLG EqBA EqOBA EqSLG EqA RAR WARP MJ Brk Imp Col Att Drp Ups
90 WAS NL 20 319 297 31 67 10 1 6 26 17 93 5 2 .226 .279 .327 .227 .275 .322 .220 -3.3 -0.8 0 100 100 0 0 0 17
80 WAS NL 20 303 283 27 61 9 1 5 24 16 91 5 2 .216 .267 .307 .217 .264 .304 .210 -6.3 -1.2 0 95 100 0 0 0 17
70 WAS NL 20 296 277 25 57 8 1 4 22 16 92 4 2 .206 .257 .285 .209 .255 .291 .202 -9.6 -1.6 0 68 83 11 4 2 17
60 WAS NL 20 290 272 25 54 8 1 4 21 16 92 4 1 .199 .248 .279 .202 .247 .282 .196 -10.6 -1.7 0 53 64 29 9 5 17
50 WAS NL 20 280 262 25 48 7 0 6 21 13 90 4 1 .183 .236 .279 .197 .242 .274 .192 -11.8 -1.8 0 44 53 41 18 14 17
40 WAS NL 20 244 231 20 40 5 0 5 18 12 82 3 1 .173 .217 .260 .183 .225 .252 .178 -13.8 -2.0 0 26 38 54 26 20 17
30 WAS NL 20 222 209 17 32 4 0 4 14 11 78 3 1 .153 .203 .230 .167 .211 .231 .167 -15.6 -2.2 0 1 14 77 38 29 17
20 WAS NL 20 179 169 15 24 4 0 3 11 9 65 3 1 .142 .190 .219 .152 .195 .212 .155 -14.0 -1.9 0 0 0 95 52 42 17
10 WAS NL 20 93 89 6 11 2 0 2 5 3 35 1 0 .124 .161 .213 .134 .169 .176 .131 -8.7 -1.2 0 0 0 100 70 62 17
Top comparable players Baseline Performance Next Year Performance
Year Name PA EQA EQR BA OBP SLG PA EQA EQR BA OBP SLG DIF
2026. Luis Arias 195. .178 10. .195 .235 .247
2009. Victor Estevez 122. .158 5. .150 .220 .205 365. .199 24. .208 .260 .275 .041
2024. Derwin Laya 183. .152 6. .161 .211 .226 166. .192 10. .207 .259 .271 .041
1999. Chris Patten 277. .167 12. .189 .244 .223 515. .206 37. .222 .259 .310 .040
2024. Starlin Aguilar 165. .179 8. .220 .245 .265 167. .152 6. .169 .204 .238 -0.027
2005. Emmanuel Sena 194. .166 8. .153 .240 .197 262. .155 10. .147 .203 .208 -0.010
2009. Yeldrys Molina 158. .180 8. .177 .233 .244 138. .152 5. .126 .195 .189 -0.028
2019. Juan Martinez 209. .185 12. .174 .234 .265 503. .211 38. .201 .267 .312 .026
2020. Charles Mack 222. .179 12. .173 .231 .260 . .000 . .000 .000 .000 -0.179
2024. Adrian Rodriguez 160. .149 5. .174 .226 .190 127. .195 8. .210 .260 .261 .046
2005. Julio Garcia 226. .163 9. .175 .234 .201 70. .139 2. .154 .214 .184 -0.024
2019. Rafael Romero 131. .154 5. .181 .224 .203 99. .142 3. .152 .213 .163 -0.012
2024. Jediael Maduro 106. .153 4. .164 .228 .201 69. .141 2. .169 .217 .185 -0.012
2000. Bill Hall 283. .172 14. .180 .214 .258 490. .187 29. .201 .222 .302 .015
2003. Joe Mather 250. .183 14. .171 .217 .278 222. .205 16. .194 .253 .301 .022
2025. Jeffrey Mercedes 142. .177 7. .195 .227 .274 352. .200 24. .199 .244 .304 .023
2009. Carlos Martinez 270. .174 13. .184 .227 .241 321. .137 9. .151 .193 .200 -0.037
2012. Niko Goodrum 223. .172 11. .174 .232 .230 267. .228 24. .193 .281 .327 .056
2016. Johan Cruz 271. .181 15. .202 .232 .280 279. .210 21. .205 .262 .305 .029
1998. Scott Kirby 299. .193 18. .157 .252 .252 412. .184 23. .155 .234 .267 -0.009
2024. Christopher Pacioll 134. .163 6. .162 .198 .250 274. .139 8. .172 .190 .243 -0.024
/home/clayd/baseball/current/defense/splitdts
Splits for 2026 NAT FCL -----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Year Tm Lge AB H DB TP HR BB SO R RBI SB CS Out BAvg OBA SlgA EqA EqR POW SPD KRt WRt BIP
ALL 2026 NAT FCL 129 30 3 0 4 14 51 17 23 1 1 101 .233 .315 .349 .216 11 9 -9 -32 -12 7
vLH 2026 NAT FCL 15 3 0 0 0 3 5 1 3 0 0 12 .200 .333 .200 .178 1 -9 -5 -3 1 -2
vRH 2026 NAT FCL 119 28 3 0 4 12 46 19 26 0 0 91 .235 .316 .361 .219 10 13 -6 -31 -14 6
ROAD 2026 NAT FCL 67 13 1 0 1 9 25 12 11 0 0 54 .194 .308 .254 .181 4 -12 5 -24 -8 -9
HOME 2026 NAT FCL 67 18 2 0 3 6 26 8 18 0 0 49 .269 .329 .433 .245 7 26 -15 -34 -15 18
EMPTY 2026 NAT FCL 62 13 1 0 3 4 22 3 2 0 0 49 .210 .269 .371 .198 4 24 -18 -26 -20 -15
MEN_ON 2026 NAT FCL 72 18 2 0 1 11 29 17 27 0 0 54 .250 .357 .319 .229 7 -9 21 -31 -5 21
MAY 2026 NAT FCL 45 8 0 0 1 7 18 11 10 0 0 37 .178 .288 .244 .165 2 -5 29 -25 -3 -12
JUNE 2026 NAT FCL 65 19 3 0 3 7 20 8 18 0 0 46 .292 .370 .477 .275 9 25 -15 -11 -12 14
JULY 2026 NAT FCL 24 4 0 0 0 1 13 1 1 0 0 20 .167 .231 .167 .000 0 -13 -7 -29 -10 4
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Splits for 2025 NAT FCL -----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Year Tm Lge AB H DB TP HR BB SO R RBI SB CS Out BAvg OBA SlgA EqA EqR POW SPD KRt WRt BIP
ALL 2025 NAT FCL 116 34 5 0 2 13 28 19 12 4 0 83 .293 .371 .388 .284 18 -1 0 6 -7 18
vLH 2025 NAT FCL 20 4 1 0 0 2 8 2 2 0 0 16 .200 .318 .250 .208 2 -4 -3 -8 -3 3
vRH 2025 NAT FCL 99 30 4 0 2 11 20 17 17 0 0 69 .303 .378 .404 .284 15 3 -6 13 -7 15
ROAD 2025 NAT FCL 62 15 1 0 0 9 13 8 6 0 0 47 .242 .338 .258 .227 6 -19 -9 13 -1 1
HOME 2025 NAT FCL 57 19 4 0 2 4 15 11 13 0 0 38 .333 .391 .509 .316 11 23 -3 0 -15 31
EMPTY 2025 NAT FCL 65 19 3 0 2 7 15 2 2 0 0 46 .292 .361 .431 .283 10 14 -13 7 -7 13
MEN_ON 2025 NAT FCL 54 15 2 0 0 6 13 17 17 0 0 39 .278 .371 .315 .259 7 -15 31 6 -7 15
MAY 2025 NAT FCL 60 18 2 0 1 6 14 9 2 0 0 42 .300 .373 .383 .277 8 -1 -8 7 -9 19
JUNE 2025 NAT FCL 48 12 2 0 0 6 10 7 14 0 0 36 .250 .333 .292 .233 5 -12 -3 10 -4 3
JULY 2025 NAT FCL 11 4 1 0 1 1 4 3 3 0 0 7 .364 .462 .727 .388 3 18 0 -3 -2 10
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Splits for 2024 NAT FCL -----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Year Tm Lge AB H DB TP HR BB SO R RBI SB CS Out BAvg OBA SlgA EqA EqR POW SPD KRt WRt BIP
ALL 2024 NAT FCL 99 19 6 0 0 13 27 12 15 5 3 84 .192 .286 .253 .199 7 -19 16 -1 -3 -14
vLH 2024 NAT FCL 15 1 0 0 0 1 4 0 3 0 0 14 .067 .125 .067 .000 -1 -6 -4 -1 -4 -15
vRH 2024 NAT FCL 89 18 6 0 0 13 24 14 29 0 0 71 .202 .304 .270 .207 7 -13 6 0 -1 -11
ROAD 2024 NAT FCL 45 9 1 0 0 9 14 7 10 0 0 36 .200 .333 .222 .210 4 -16 -4 -4 6 -6
HOME 2024 NAT FCL 59 10 5 0 0 5 14 7 22 0 0 49 .169 .234 .254 .159 2 -10 11 4 -11 -25
EMPTY 2024 NAT FCL 52 8 2 0 0 7 9 0 3 0 0 44 .154 .254 .192 .147 2 -16 -11 18 -3 -32
MEN_ON 2024 NAT FCL 52 11 4 0 0 7 19 14 29 0 0 41 .212 .305 .288 .213 4 -8 36 -18 -3 4
MAY 2024 NAT FCL 31 6 2 0 0 2 3 9 7 0 0 25 .194 .242 .258 .163 1 -8 20 17 -8 -14
JUNE 2024 NAT FCL 26 4 1 0 0 7 13 1 12 0 0 22 .154 .333 .192 .206 2 -7 -6 -19 8 -1
JULY 2024 NAT FCL 47 9 3 0 0 5 12 4 13 0 0 38 .191 .269 .255 .181 3 -11 -6 1 -6 -13
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Splits for 2023 dwa DSL -----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Year Tm Lge AB H DB TP HR BB SO R RBI SB CS Out BAvg OBA SlgA EqA EqR POW SPD KRt WRt BIP
ALL 2023 dwa DSL 4 2 1 0 0 1 0 1 0 0 0 2 .500 .600 .750 .471 2 2 0 0 1 8
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